In 2024, the entrepreneurial landscape sees a consolidated formation of the first tier of startups, evolving into a “6+2” structure. The “6” refers to Zhishu, MiniMax, Baichuan Intelligence, Dark Side of the Moon, Step-up Stars, and Zero One Universe, often dubbed the “Big Model Six Cubs” in the industry. The “2” represents two smaller but uniquely positioned companies: DeepSeek and Wallflower Intelligence.
The Big Model Six Cubs were the brightest stars in the startup race shortly after ChatGPT’s launch. However, the situation is quietly shifting in the second half of the year. Recently, several investors have noted that two of the Cubs seem to be lagging behind, with the same two names mentioned consistently. However, no company is particularly thriving, with the next evaluation set for the following year. Current valuations are below expectations.
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The competition among the Six Cubs is expanding infinitely, with tech giants catching up in 2024. Google has just vowed to sound the counterattack in the crucial year of 2025, while ByteDance is making a comprehensive push in AI strategy domestically.
**The Genesis of AGI Dream**
To truly grasp the undercurrents, one must look back at the origins of the Big Model Six Cubs.
Zhishu and MiniMax, established before the release of ChatGPT, saw the technological turning point earlier than most. Zhishu, founded in June 2019, was among the first, if not the first, to explore large-scale models in China, with a vision to “make machines think like humans.”
On Zhishu’s first anniversary, coinciding with OpenAI’s release of GPT-3, Zhang Peng discussed the technological prospects of GPT-3 with invited academician Zhang Bo. Zhang Peng realized that this “large model” technology would be the future direction.
Two years after Zhishu’s establishment, MiniMax was founded. In 2021, Yan Junjie wrote down MiniMax’s initial intention and path in a room of less than 100 square meters, aiming for “Intelligence with Everyone.” His three judgments remain unchanged: build the next-generation AI, create intelligent agents close to the Turing test, and deliver ultimate experiences through intelligence.
Post-ChatGPT, large models quickly transformed from a niche, obscure technical term to the hottest topic in the investment and financing market. The Big Model Six Cubs emerged, carrying the expectation of becoming “China’s OpenAI.”
**Strategic Diversification of the Six Cubs**
AGI is the common goal, but different companies have developed varied strategies to achieve it.
To quantify AGI, companies like DeepMind, OpenAI, and Zhishu have defined levels of AGI. Zhishu’s definition includes L1 for language proficiency, L2 for logical thinking and multimodal understanding, L3 for tool usage, L4 for self-learning, and L5 for surpassing humans in scientific exploration.
Zhishu has been pursuing a “steady victory” strategy, closely following OpenAI’s every move. However, they have also increased investment in L3 – Agent, demonstrated by Zhang Peng’s live demonstration of using AutoGLM to create a WeChat group and send red envelopes.
Step-up Stars, another company clearly benchmarking OpenAI, has a business trajectory from unimodal to world models. Jiang Daxin believes that the evolution of large models will go through a process from separate development of early language, video, voice, and other modalities to gradual integration and eventual complete fusion.
MiniMax, though established earlier, has maintained a low-profile. In February 2023, MiniMax introduced its three foundational models: text-to-image, text-to-speech, and text-to-text, making it the first multimodal large model startup in China. Their first application, Glow, later renamed Xingye for the domestic version and Talkie for international users, has garnered nearly 5 million users.
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